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Wednesday, December 15, 2021

What the 1971 refugees have to do with Indian politics today

 

Sanjib Baruah writes: Even if half a century later, the civil war that split Pakistan has had a decisive impact on the ideological battle over India’s national identity.


The civil war in East Pakistan in 1971 — that saw a huge influx of refugees to India — and which led to the break-up of Pakistan and the birth of Bangladesh, is remembered in India mostly for its impact on the subcontinent’s geopolitical landscape. The consequences of the presence of those refugees on our domestic political order do not receive much attention.

The standard story is that most refugees returned home soon after the liberation of Bangladesh. This is partly responsible for the unfounded myth that India’s domestic political order was insulated from the refugee influx. This is, of course, not how the refugee influx is remembered in Assam and other Northeastern states.

There are good reasons to doubt the narrative of near complete repatriation. Indeed, the Indian government has itself cast serious doubts on this narrative on various occasions. The fact that the political effects of the refugee influx have been most pronounced in a region long relegated to the periphery of Indian policy is surely another reason why this myth has persisted.

The fact that the Assam Movement (1979-1985) broke out in the same decade as the Bangladesh liberation war is not an accident. Those six years of political turmoil saw the collapse of four elected ministries, the outbreak of an armed insurgency, and three spells of president’s rule. The violent elections of 1983, including the horrendous Nellie massacre, are also part of this history. The troubles that began with the refugee influx eventually led to the coming of the hard state to Assam in 1990 when the whole of Assam was declared a “disturbed area” under the Armed Forces Special Powers Act (AFSPA).

The AFSPA regime has remained in force in Assam partly because the legacies of the Assam Movement remain live, unresolved issues in the state’s politics. If these are considered among the effects of the Bangladesh liberation war, the geopolitical benefits that accrued to India need to be balanced against these significant domestic political costs, even though they are concentrated in a single “peripheral” region.

There would have been no Assam Movement had there been no Bangladesh liberation war. The sheer size of the refugee population gave new life to old fears that migrants from eastern Bengal risk turning Assam’s khilonjia or autochthonous peoples into minorities in their own lands. It is not just the presence of refugees or their numbers that produced this anxiety. The phenomenon that sociologist Kamal Sadiq calls “suffraged non-citizens” gave political force to those fears. Since the exercise of franchise in India relies on rudimentary documents that can easily be obtained through informal means, the distinction between citizens and non-citizens becomes blurred. The perception that the number of voters had risen abnormally in the aftermath of the refugee influx became the trigger for the Assam Movement.

Had all refugees gone back to their homes, the foreign nationals’ issue would not have rankled Assam and the country for all these years. Indeed, it has been the conventional wisdom in Assam that the Assam Movement failed in its primary objective. This made the Assam Accord, which ended the Assam Movement, a hallowed document in the state’s political discourse. When the BJP began to move on the citizenship amendment bill, the resistance to it in Assam focused entirely on the fact that it grossly violates the Assam Accord.

A barely hidden secret about the refugee influx was that a majority of those who fled East Pakistan to India were Hindus. This was only to be expected since the Yahya Khan regime viewed the liberation movement as an Indian conspiracy and its repressive backlash fell upon most of the region’s Hindu households. Of the estimated 9.7 million refugees who migrated to India in 1971, 70 per cent were Hindus. The West Pakistani generals had calculated that by forcing millions of East Pakistani Hindus to flee to India they would weaken Bengali nationalism as a political force. Their aim, as the sociologist, late Partha Nath Mukherji, observed at the time, was “to uproot the Hindus, not to eliminate them, and in this they seem to have succeeded admirably”.

Ironically, while Indian officials liked to describe the Pakistani military’s massacre of East Pakistanis as genocide, “the best case for branding these atrocities as genocide”, as Gary Bass of Princeton University puts it, “was one that India did not dare make”. They feared that “publicising anti-Hindu genocide could have splintered Indians on communal lines . . . possibly setting off riots”. The architects of the Assam Movement, of course, saw the influx for what it was: That there were both Hindus and Muslims among the refugees, but that a clear majority were Hindus.

The Yahya Khan regime’s strategy of demographic engineering met its match in prime minister Indira Gandhi. She was determined to send the refugees back. Indeed, stopping the refugee influx and ensuring the safe return of the millions already in India were the key goals of India’s military intervention.

Whatever the official rationale for the Citizenship (Amendment) Act of 2019, it marks a decisive break from the Indian policy of refusing to yield to the demographic engineering strategy of the West Pakistani generals who ran the war in East Pakistan. The CAA effectively accommodates the Hindu refugees of 1971, that is the majority of the refugees (and also people of other minority faiths, which was added for euphemistic reasons). But it excludes refugees that are Muslim. Rather remarkably, top BJP leaders continue to claim that they are working to implement the Assam Accord. But obviously they can do this only by shifting attention to the accord’s secondary clauses that are unrelated to the foreign nationals’ question.

The CAA is built on a fundamentally different set of assumptions about the idea of India than the one that informed Indian policy in 1971. With its adoption, it could be said that the civil war that split Pakistan has come to have a decisive impact on the ideological battle over India’s national identity, even if half a century later.

Baruah is Professor of Political Studies at Bard College, New York.


Source: Indian Express, 15/12/21

Tuesday, December 14, 2021

Quote of the Day December 14, 2021

 

“I like the dreams of the future better than the history of the past.”
Thomas Jefferson (April 13, 1743–July 4, 1826), Third President of America
“मुझे तो अतीत के इतिहास से कहीं अच्छे लगते हैं भविष्य के सपने।”
टॉमस जैफ़रसन (१७४३-१८२६), तीसरे अमरीकी राष्ट्रपति

Economic and Political Weekly: Table of Contents

 

Vol. 56, Issue No. 50, 11 Dec, 2021

Editorials

From the Editor's Desk

From 50 Years Ago

Commentary

Review Article

Perspectives

Special Articles

Current Statistics

Postscript

Letters

‘Section 124A of the Indian Penal Code’ in the News

 

Highlights

  • As per a written reply to a question in Lok Sabha, Union Law Minister Kiren Rijiju stated that, on May 31, 2021 Supreme Court in its order on a writ petition had observed that “ambit & parameters of provisions of Sections 124A, 505 and 153A of the Indian Penal Code (IPC), 1860 requires interpretation, especially with respect to right of electronic & print media to communicate news”.
  • As per minister, SC has also issued notice to Centre on a plea in which petitioners have asked for an appropriate writ, order or direction to declare Section 124A of IPC, 1860 unconstitutional and void.

What is Sedition law?

Section 124A of the Indian Penal Code (IPC) deals with the Sedition Law. This section defines sedition as an offence committed when “any person attempts to excite disaffection towards government established by law, by means of spoken or written words, or by signs, or by visible representation. Such disaffection includes disloyalty and feelings of enmity.  Sedition is a non-bailable offence. Its punishment ranges from imprisonment up to three years to a life term. Fines may also be added. A person charged with sedition law is barred from government job and they have to live without their passport.

History of the Sedition Laws

Sedition laws were enacted in 17th century. During that time, lawmakers believed that only good opinions towards government should survive, because bad opinions were detrimental to government and monarchy. Laws were first drafted by Thomas Macaulay in 1837. Original laws were inexplicably omitted when IPC was enacted in 1860.

India’s Harnaaz Sandhu crowned Miss Universe 2021

 

Key Facts

  • The 70th Miss Universe 2021 was held in Eilat, Israel.
  • India was represented by Ms Harnaaz Sandhu.
  • Ms Sandhu is 21-year-old and comes from Punjab.
  • She claimed the Miss Universe crown, siding out Nadia Ferreira from Paraguay and Lalela Mswane from South Africa.

Who presented the crown to Ms Sandhu?

Crown was presented to Ms Sandhu by Andrea Meza, who was the former Miss Universe 2020 from Mexico.

Indians who won this title before?

Before Ms Sandhu, only two Indians have won the title of Miss Universe:

  1. Sushmita Sen in 1994 and
  2. Lara Dutta in 2000.

Journey of Ms Sandhu

Ms Sandhu had started her journey at the age of 17, in pageantry. She has previously been crowned with-

  • Femina Miss India Punjab 2019
  • Miss Diva 2021
  • She was also placed in Top 12 at Femina Miss India 2019.

She has also worked in Punjabi movies such as- Yaara Diyan Poo Baran and Bai Ji Kuttange.

About Miss Universe

Miss Universe is an annual international beauty pageant. It is run by the United States–based Miss Universe Organization. This pageant is one of the most watched pageants worldwide, with an estimated audience of 500 million viewers across 190 territories. Apart from Miss World; Miss International, Miss Earth and Miss Universe are among Big Four international beauty pageants.

Who own the miss universe organization?

Miss Universe Organization and its brand are presently owned by Endeavor. Telemundo has got the licensing rights to air the pageant for next 5 years.

Current Affairs- December 14, 2021

 

INDIA

– Parliament passes High Court and Supreme Court Judges (Salaries and Conditions of Service) Amendment Bill, 2021
– Lok Sabha passes Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances (Amendment) Bill, 2021
– Chairperson of Lokpal Justice Pinaki Chandra Ghose inaugurates digital Platform for Management of Complaints
– India launches Supersonic Missile Assisted Torpedo System (SMAT) from Abdul Kalam island off the Odisha coast
– Azadi Ka Amrit Mahotsav: Defence inaugurates nation-wide events of Defence Production
– Social Justice and Empowerment Minister Dr. Virendra Kumar launches National Helpline Against Atrocities on Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes
– CBSE drops controversial comprehension from class 10 English board exam paper
– Alejandro Simancas Marin appointed new Ambassador of Cuba to India
– PM inaugurates the first phase of Kashi Vishwanath Dham in Varanasi

ECONOMY & CORPORATE

– Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) collaborates with Bhabha Atomic Research Centre (BARC) for Green Hydrogen production
– Retail inflation inches up to a 3-month high of 4.91% in November
– Hindustan Syringes and Medical Devices (HMD) allowed to continue operations at Faridabad plant
– Walmart-owned Flipkart invests $145 million in agritech startup Ninjacart
– Tega Industries debuts on stock markets at more than 60% premium over issue price

WORLD

– India is 4th most powerful country in Asia after US, Japan and China: Sydney-based Lowy Institute
– India’s Harnaaz Sandhu crowned Miss Universe 2021 in Israel
– Tesla CEO Elon Musk named Time’s 2021 ‘Person of the Year’
– Dubai govt goes 100% paperless, world’s first: Crown Prince Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum
– Two cargo ships collide in the Baltic Sea off the Swedish coast

Workers of the world are in need of a better deal in today’s times

 The last four decades of globalization and technological innovation have been a boon for those with the skills, wealth and connections to take advantage of new markets and opportunities. But ordinary workers have had much less to cheer about. In advanced economies, earnings for those with less education often stagnated despite gains in overall labour productivity. Since 1979, for example, US production workers’ compensation has risen by less than a third of the rate of productivity growth. Labour-market insecurity and inequality rose, and many communities were left behind as factories closed and jobs migrated elsewhere.

In developing countries, where standard economic theory predicted that workers would be the main beneficiary of the expanding global division of labour, corporations and capital again reaped the biggest gains. A forthcoming book by George Washington University’s Adam Dean shows that even where democratic governments prevailed, trade liberalization went hand in hand with repression of labour rights.

Labour-market ills create broader social and political strains. In his pathbreaking 1996 book When Work Disappears, sociologist William Julius Wilson described how the decline in blue-collar jobs had fuelled an increase in family breakdown, drug abuse, and crime. More recently, the economists Anne Case and Angus Deaton have documented the rise in “deaths of despair" among less-educated American men. And a growing empirical literature has linked the rise of authoritarian, right-wing populism in advanced economies to the disappearance of good jobs for ordinary workers.

As a result of the covid pandemic, labour problems are receiving renewed attention, and rightly so. But how can workers not only get their fair share but also have access to decent jobs that enable meaningful lives?

One approach is to rely on the enlightened self-interest of large corporations. Happy, fulfilled workers are more productive, less likely to quit, and more likely to provide good customer service. MIT’s Zeynep Ton has shown that retail establishments can cut costs and boost profits by paying good wages, investing in their workers, and responding to employees’ needs. But many firms that claim to take the high road in labour standards are also vehemently anti-union; taking the low road by minimizing workers’ pay and say is too often a profitable corporate strategy. Historically, it is the countervailing power of labour—through collective action and union organization—that has brought about the most significant gains for workers.

So, a second strategy to help workers consists of increasing the organizational power of labour vis-à-vis employers. US President Joe Biden has explicitly endorsed this approach, arguing that the shrinking of the US middle class is a consequence of a decline in union power, and has vowed to strengthen organized labour and collective bargaining.

In countries such as the US, where unions have become significantly weaker, this strategy is indispensable to redress imbalances in bargaining power. But the experience in many European countries, where labour organization and collective bargaining remain strong, suggests that it may not be the full remedy. The trouble is that strong worker rights can also create dualistic labour markets, where the benefits accrue to ‘insiders’ while many less experienced workers struggle to find jobs. Extensive collective bargaining and robust labour regulations have generally served French workers well. But France has one of the highest youth unemployment rates among advanced economies.

A third strategy, which aims to minimize unemployment, is to ensure adequate labour demand through expansionary macroeconomic policies. When fiscal policy keeps aggregate demand high, employers chase workers—rather than the other way around—and unemployment can remain low. Research by Larry Mishel and Josh Bivens of the Economic Policy Institute shows that macro-economic austerity is a major reason why US wages have lagged behind productivity since the 1980s. By contrast, the Biden administration’s aggressive fiscal response to the covid crisis has ensured that US wages have increased amid a sharp fall in unemployment. But although tight labour markets can help workers, they can also pose an inflation risk. Moreover, macroeconomic policy can’t target the lowest-skilled workers or the regions where jobs are most needed.

A fourth strategy, then, is to shift the structure of demand in the economy in order to benefit less-educated workers and depressed regions in particular. The shortage of secure, middle-class jobs is closely linked to the disappearance—as a result of globalization and technological change—of blue-collar manufacturing work and service-sector sales and clerical jobs. Policymakers must focus on expanding the supply of jobs in the middle of the skill distribution in order to reverse these polarizing effects.

This entails revising existing industrial and business-development programmes so that incentives go to the firms most likely to generate decent jobs in the right places and are designed with these firms’ needs in mind. Conventional industrial policies that target skill- and capital-intensive manufacturing, and rely heavily on tax breaks, will not do much to spur the expansion of good jobs for those who most need them.

Also, we must consider how new technologies help or hurt workers, and rethink national innovation policies. The current narrative focuses almost exclusively on how workers should retrain to adapt to new technologies, and too little on how innovation should adapt to the workforce’s skills.

As economists such as Daron Acemoglu, Joseph Stiglitz, and Anton Korinek have pointed out, the direction of technological change is flexible and depends on price incentives, taxes and the norms prevailing among innovators. Government policies can help guide automation and artificial-intelligence technologies along a more labour-friendly path that complements workers’ skills instead of replacing them.

Ultimately, boosting labour earnings and the dignity of work requires both strengthening workers’ bargaining power and increasing the supply of good jobs. That would give workers a better deal and a fair share of future prosperity.


Dani Rodrik is professor of international political economy at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government, and president of the International Economic Association

Source: Mintepaper, 13/12/21